Among various barriers to increasing employment of older workers, this paper focuses on two notable ones that are relevant for the future of work. First, older workers engaged in codifiable, routine tasks are particularly prone to the risk of being displaced by computers and robots. Second, several countries have in place various labour market institutions that encourage early retirement, such as exceptional entitlements or looser criteria for unemployment and disability benefits applied to older individuals. This paper presents evidence that these two factors reinforce each other to push older workers out of employment. It is found that older workers who are more exposed to digital technologies are more likely to leave employment, and that this effect is significantly magnified when they are eligible to an extension of unemployment benefits until they start drawing old age pension. Furthermore, a simple simulation based on the empirical findings illustrates that a reform that tightens the eligibility for the benefit extension would increase mostly the employment of older workers that are more exposed to digital technologies.
Technology, labour market institutions and early retirement: evidence from Finland
Working paper
Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Abstract
In the same series
-
Working paper
Evidence from Costa Rica’s electronics sector
17 July 202635 Pages -
17 July 202645 Pages
-
Working paper
Calibrating stochastic debt sustainability analysis models
15 July 202640 Pages -
30 June 202667 Pages
-
Working paper19 June 202652 Pages
-
15 June 2026110 Pages
Related publications
-
29 June 20267 Pages -
Working paper
Implications for forward‑looking policy design
24 April 202665 Pages